集束箭弹命中概率分析的Monte-Carlo方法

Monte-Carlo Analysis Method on Hit Probability of Multi-Arrow Canisters

  • 摘要: 研究集束箭弹命中概率的分析与计算方法.讨论了集束箭弹小箭分布特性,构造了小箭分布规律的数学模型,提出了分析集束箭弹命中概率的Monte-Carlo模拟方法.编写了采用Monte-Carlo模拟方法的集束箭弹命中概率计算程序并对实例进行了计算,得到了集束箭弹的命中概率及其与小箭散布参数的关系.研究结果具有工程应用价值,并证明了Monte-Carlo方法是分析集束箭弹命中概率的有效方法.

     

    Abstract: Hit probability analysis and calculation method of multi-arrow canisters are studied. Arrow dispersion characteristics of multi-arrow canisters are discussed, and their mathematical models are constructed. The Monte-Carlo hit probability analysis simulation method of multi-arrow canisters is proposed. For a specific multi-arrow canisters, a calculation algorithm is programmed by the use of this method, and hit probability is calculated and the relationships between hit probability and the arrow distribution parameters are obtained. The simulation results can be used in engineering, and the Monte-Carlo method is proved to be an effective tool for multi-arrow canisters hit probability analysis.

     

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